Global Conflict Index
Real-time threat assessment — Updated April 13, 2026
Overall Threat Level
The global conflict index stands at 68/100, elevated by the collapse of US-Iran nuclear talks, Russia's spring offensive in Ukraine, and Israel's continued operations in Lebanon. Multiple simultaneous crises are straining international diplomatic capacity.
Regional Breakdown
US-Iran naval blockade, Lebanon strikes, Gaza operations ongoing
Russia spring offensive, Easter ceasefire violations, NATO alert
Sudan famine crisis, third year of civil war, 12M displaced
Taiwan Strait tensions easing, Myanmar junta pressure increasing
Haiti gang violence, Venezuela border tensions
Analyst Note
The simultaneous escalation in three major conflict theatres — the Persian Gulf, Eastern Europe, and the Levant — represents a historically unusual convergence of crises. Diplomatic bandwidth is severely strained, increasing the risk of miscalculation. The index is likely to remain elevated through Q2 2026 absent a significant breakthrough in any of the three primary theatres.
Key Events
US-Iran Islamabad talks collapse; US Navy blockades Iranian ports
Russia-Ukraine Easter ceasefire violated within hours by both sides
Israel resumes strikes on southern Lebanon border towns
Sudan civil war enters third year; 12 million facing famine
Hungary's Orbán loses parliamentary majority in snap election
Methodology
The Conflict Index aggregates data from active conflict zones, casualty reports, displacement figures, diplomatic signals, and military activity indicators. Scores are updated daily by our editorial team.